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Suggested Predictions
Ziibos (28)
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American voters remain divided by race before a presidential election that will have the first black nominee from a major party on the ballot, a new poll showed on July 13. More than 80% of black voters said they had a favorable opinion of the Obama while 31% of whites said they had a favorable opinion of him. Also Obama leads McCain among Hispanics by 62%. He is viewed favorably by more than half of Hispanics, while McCain's rating is below 25%.
What percentage of BLACK votes will McCain receive? We will use the CNN exit poll to judge the result. The exit poll of 2004 election is found here: http://en.wikipedia.org/w... FYI - US dempgraphic of race/ethnicity (2006) (quote: http://en.wikipedia.org/w...) White 80.1% African American 12.8% Asian 4.4% Native American and Alaskan Native 1.0% Native Hawaiian and Pacific Islander 0.2% Multiracial 1.6% Hispanic or Latino (of any race) 14.8
Comments (5)
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worst case 44.42%
best case 52.17%
mccain probrability 48.29%
2008 will be very close. The independent swing voters have the say in this election.
However, politics is not math, and I don't have education in political science :p